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The gold medal will be on the line on Sunday when the United States takes on Canada for the 2026 Winter Olympics men’s hockey championship. It will be the eighth time the U.S. and Canada will have met for the gold, and first since 2010 when the Canadians claimed gold in Vancouver. Canada reached the final with a 3-2 win over Finland on Friday, while the United States downed Slovakia 6-2. Canada has nine men’s hockey gold medals, while the United States has two since the first Winter Games in Antwerp in 1920.

Canada enters as the -126 favorite, per FanDuel Sportsbook, while the U.S. is at +105. The over/under in total goals is 5.5. Sunday’s puck drop is set for 8:10 a.m. ET from Palaltalia, Milan. Before making any USA vs. Canada picks or Winter Olympic predictions, you need to see what Matthew Severance has to say.

Severance is coming off an outstanding NHL season in which he went 235-155-21 (plus $2,022). He entered the Olympic break on a 26-12 roll on NHL money-line picks this season, returning $1,326 for $100 players. Anyone following his hockey picks at their favorite sportsbooks could have seen huge returns.

Now, Severance has turned his attention to the Winter Olympics men’s ice hockey finals. He’s only sharing his best bets at SportsLine, and you can see how to bet on USA vs. Canada here. Now, here are the recent USA vs. Canada lines for the gold-medal game. 

USA vs. Canada money line: Canada -126, United States +105
USA vs. Canada over/under: 5.5 goals
USA vs. Canada puck line: Canada -1.5 (+198)
USA vs. Canada picks: See picks at SportsLine
USA vs. Canada streaming: Fubo (Try for free)

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2026 Winter Olympics Canada vs. USA final picks

For the 2026 Winter Olympics hockey final between Canada and the United States, Severance is taking the Under 5.5 goals (-168). The teams have met seven times for the gold medal, with Canada winning six of those. In Olympic competition, Canada and the USA have met 19 times, with Canada holding a 12-4-3 edge. At Beijing in 2022, the U.S. earned a 4-2 win in the preliminary round, before both teams were ousted in the quarterfinals. 

The United States is 5-0 in the competition, winning Group C by outscoring the competition 16-5. The U.S. then outlasted Sweden 2-1 in overtime in the quarterfinals, before downing Slovakia in the semifinals. Canada won Group A with a 5-0 win over Czechia, 5-1 win over Switzerland and 10-2 triumph over France, before beating Czechia 4-3 in overtime in the quarterfinals and Finland in the semifinals. See his other picks at SportsLine.

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How to make Olympics hockey USA vs. Canada predictions

Severance has studied this matchup and found a critical x-factor that has him jumping on a pair of best bets. You can only see his Olympic picks here.

So who wins the 2026 Winter Olympics men’s ice hockey final between USA and Canada, and what are the best bets for this matchup? Visit SportsLine now to see the 2026 Winter Olympics men’s ice hockey picks and best bets from a hockey insider, and find out.