2026 Cognizant Classic preview: Expert predictions, picks as PGA Tour’s Florida Swing begins at PGA National
The PGA Tour kicks off its Florida Swing at the Bear Trap
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Through six events of the 2026 PGA Tour season, storylines are bountiful. A multi-time winner, Chris Gotterup has jumped into a new echelon of golf. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler has kept up his torrid pace, while Justin Rose has continued to defy conventional wisdom at age 45. Collin Morikawa broke his winless drought, and Jacob Bridgeman became the year’s initial first-time winner at the Genesis Invitational by holding off Rory McIlroy.
But that was the West Coast Swing, and now, the PGA Tour transitions to Florida with the 2026 Cognizant Classic representing the start of four weeks of golf in the Sunshine State. While the names that were supposed to headline the field — Bridgeman, Ben Griffin and Adam Scott — bowed out earlier in the week, opportunity still comes knocking at PGA National.
A life-changing moment could be in a young player’s future as a wide-open field battles the Bear Trap, which has lost some of its teeth in recent times. With tournament officials choosing to overseed the golf course to provide lush fairways and green scenery, the bite that the venue was once known for has been taken away.
Last season, for example, Jake Knapp fired a 59 on the par 71 while Joe Highsmith won the tournament at 19 under after making the cut on the number. The year prior, Austin Eckroat won on a Monday finish at 17 under, marking the first time since the tournament moved to PGA National that a winner eclipsed 15 under.
This season, good scores should be available once again as Shane Lowry leads a group of veteran players like Keith Mitchell and Brooks Koepka into the field. Meanwhile, young players like Rasmus Højgaard and his twin brother Nicolai look for their first wins on the PGA Tour alongside Michael Thorbjornsen, Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen and Haotong Li, who are also in the mix.
Dates: Feb. 26 – Mar. 1
Location: PGA National Resort (The Champion Course) — Palm Beach Gardens, Florida
Par: 71 | Yardage: 7,223 | Architect: Tom Fazio
Purse: $9,600,000
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
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Ryan Gerard
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| Winner (16-1): He was the breakout candidate in the preseason predictions, and while Gotterup and Bridgeman may have the inside track on that award early, Gerard should give them a good push across the Florida events. Despite the lacking results to this point, the 26-year-old continued to strike the cover off the golf ball at Pebble Beach and Riviera, only to be undone on the greens. Local to these parts, Gerard will find his touch with the putter at PGA National where he has two finishes inside the top 25 in two appearances. | |
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HaoTong Li
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| Contender (45-1): One of the easier guys to root for on the PGA Tour, Li looked super comfortable in the early stretch of the season. He claimed a top 10 finish at the American Express before a T11 at the Farmers Insurance Open. Unfortunately, he missed the cut at the WM Phoenix Open to end his chances at qualifying for the next two signature events, but his game remains in a solid spot. Li is driving it great and has a winning pedigree with four DP World Tour wins to his credit. | |
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Michael Brennan
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| Sleeper (70-1): For as easy as the Bank of Utah Championship victory looked, Brennan’s rookie season on the PGA Tour has been met with some speed bumps. A missed cut at the Sony Open was followed by being disqualified from the Farmers Insurance Open for using improper green-reading material. Still, he turned the corner at TPC Scottsdale, where his play was much better than what the result indicated. His speed has speed, and he can take it deep on easy setups. | |
Who will win the 2026 Cognizant Classic, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 16 golf majors heading into the weekend, and find out.
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