Six Nations title permutations after Ireland beat ScotlandMedia caption, Impressive Ireland beat Scotland to win Triple CrownPublished6 March 2026118 Comments
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Six Nations title permutations after Ireland beat ScotlandMedia caption, Impressive Ireland beat Scotland to win Triple CrownPublished6 March 2026118 Comments
The 2026 Six Nations will be won by either Ireland or France, with England’s match in Paris later on Saturday deciding who claims the title.
Ireland moved top of the standings with a bonus-point 43-21 win over Scotland in Dublin to lift the Triple Crown and end the visitors’ hopes of a first title since 1999.
The permutations are now much simpler:
Andy Farrell’s Ireland, who lost to France in their opening game, will be champions if England beat Les Bleus at the Stade de France (20:10 GMT kick-off).
However, a France victory of any kind will hand them a record eighth Six Nations title.
A bonus-point draw would bring France level with Ireland on match points but Les Bleus would be crowned champions courtesy of their superior points difference.
Scotland finish the campaign in third place and remain without a title since their 1999 Five Nations success.
Meanwhile, Wales look set to end up with the Wooden Spoon for a third successive year, but beleaguered England could still finish bottom.
Italy claim first-ever Six Nations win over England
Wales face the prospect of finishing bottom of the table for a third successive year after their defeat in Dublin.
They are making progress under Steve Tandy but have lost all four of their matches this year and are without a Six Nations win since 2023.
Tandy’s side would need a big bonus-point win over Italy – in the day’s live game on BBC One – and hope France thump England by a huge score to finish above England on points difference.
It would be a staggering turnaround with England’s points difference being plus four and Wales’ minus 96, but a win would at least end a miserable run of losses.
Italy, who clinched a first win over England on Saturday, will bid to make it three wins in a Six Nations for the first time in their history.
Whatever their result the Azzurri cannot finish bottom.
England will aim to avoid losing four matches in a Six Nations campaign for the first time and alleviate some of the pressure on head coach Steve Borthwick.
Teams earn four points for a win or two for a draw.
Teams earn one bonus point for scoring four or more tries in a match and/or losing by seven points or fewer.
Losing teams can therefore earn two points with a high-scoring but narrow defeat.
Saturday 14 March fixtures (all times GMT):
Ireland 43-21 Scotland, Aviva Stadium, Dublin
16:40 – Wales v Italy, Principality Stadium, Cardiff – live on BBC One and BBC Sounds
20:10 – France v England, Stade de France, Paris – live on ITV and BBC Radio 5 Live
France’s triumph in 2025 was their seventh since the championship became the Six Nations.
Their victory drew them level with England for the most titles won since Italy joined the tournament in 2000.
Wales and Ireland have both won six Six Nations, while Scotland and Italy have never lifted the trophy.
Wales and France lead the way when it comes to Grand Slams with four each, Ireland have three and England two.
Ireland have won the Triple Crown eight times, with England and Wales on five each. Scotland have yet to lift the Triple Crown trophy.
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