UFC Freedom 250 takes place on Sunday at the White House. Residents of states like Texas, California and Florida can utilize the best UFC prediction market apps to win real money from the best UFC prediction market sites for Sunday’s UFC White House card, which begins at 8 p.m. ET on Paramount+. The Kalshi UFC promo code CBSSPORTS gives new users a $10 bonus after $10 in trades. The Kalshi UFC Freedom 250 promo offers trading options for title fights, such as Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje for the lightweight title and Alex Pereira vs. Ciryl Gane for the interim heavyweight belt. Claim a $10 trading bonus now after making your first $10 worth of trades with the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS:
Best Kalshi UFC Freedom 250 promo code
How to sign up for the Kalshi referral code
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Tap the CLAIM BONUS button and download the Kalshi app.
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Register for a Kalshi account and enter the information requested, including name, address, phone number and SSN. Do not forget the Kalshi referral code CBSSPORTS to lock in the bonus offer.
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Once registered, tap the green “Deposit Cash” button, choose your preferred deposit method and follow the prompts.
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New users must trade at least $10 in contracts for the $10 trading bonus to be applied to their account.
Claim your Kalshi bonus here, and remember to use the Kalshi referral code CBSSPORTS:
States where Kalshi is available
Kalshi is available in more than 40 states, including California, Texas and Florida. Some states, though, have limited access on what markets you can trade on. Kalshi’s states list is as follows:
| Alabama | Georgia | Maine | North Carolina | South Dakota | Wisconsin |
| Alaska | Hawaii | Minnesota | Nevada | Tennessee | Wyoming |
| Arkansas | Idaho | Mississippi | North Dakota | Texas | Washington, DC |
| California | Indiana | Missouri | Oklahoma | Utah | |
| Colorado | Iowa | Nebraska | Oregon | Vermont | |
| Connecticut | Kansas | New Hampshire | Pennsylvania | Virginia | |
| Delaware | Kentucky | New Mexico | Rhode Island | Washington | |
| Florida | Louisiana | New York | South Carolina | West Virginia |
How UFC Freedom 250 prediction markets work
UFC White House prediction markets offer Yes/No event contracts with clearly defined rules about how the contract settles. You purchase shares of an outcome at a given price (between $0.01 and $0.99) and if you’re correct, those shares are paid at $1.00 per share.
For example, if you think Alex Pereira is going to win his interim heavyweight title bout against Ciryl Gane as one of your UFC White House predictions, you might purchase 100 shares of Pereira to win at $0.52 per share. If Pereira is determined the winner, either by referee stoppage or official scorecard, your shares would then pay out at $1 each for a total of $100. On a per-share basis, if you purchased the Pereira contract at $0.52 per share, it pays out at $1 per share for a profit of $0.48 per share.
Share prices are reflective of what the market predicts the win probability to be and are subject to change as money rolls in. Here’s a guide showing Kalshi share prices along with their equivalent American odds:
Equivalent odds for Kalshi UFC prediction market prices
- $0.10 per share = +900
- $0.20 per share = +400
- $0.30 per share = +233
- $0.40 per share = +150
- $0.50 per share = +100
- $0.60 per share = -150
- $0.70 per share = -233
- $0.80 per share = -400
- $0.90 per share = -900
UFC White House predictions markets: Kalshi UFC pricing for Main Card
Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje (Lightweight title bout)
- Topuria to win: $0.81
- Gaethje to win: $0.20
- Topuria to win by KO/TKO/DQ: $0.69
- Topuria to win by submission: $0.11
- Topuria to win by decision: $0.07
- Gaethje to win by KO/TKO/DQ: $0.14
- Gaethje to win by submission: $0.02
- Gaethje to win by decision: $0.05
- Fight goes the distance: Yes: $0.15, No: $0.87
Topuria won the UFC lightweight championship last June but hasn’t defended it yet due to legal and personal issues. Topuria (17-0, 9-0 UFC) relinquished the featherweight title to prove himself in the lightweight division. Gaethje won the interim belt in an upset victory over Paddy Pimblett, and the belts will unify following the main event of UFC Freedom 250.
Alex Pereira vs. Ciryl Gane (Interim heavyweight title bout)
- Pereira to win: $0.52
- Gane to win: $0.49
- Pereira to win by KO/TKO/DQ: $0.37
- Pereira to win by submission: $0.05
- Pereira to win by decision: $0.14
- Gane to win by KO/TKO/DQ: $0.21
- Gane to win by submission: $0.06
- Gane to win by decision: $0.23
- Fight goes the distance: Yes: $0.36, No: $0.69
Pereira vacated the light heavyweight title to go for the heavyweight belt, but he’ll need to begin with an interim title opportunity. UFC heavyweight champion Tom Aspinall remains out from the effects of an accidental eye poke against Gane at UFC 321. Sunday marks Gane’s first fight since that incident. Both fighters are 10-2 in the UFC.
Sean O’Malley vs. Aiemann Zahabi (Bantamweight bout)
- O’Malley to win: $0.78
- Zahabi to win: $0.22
- O’Malley to win by KO/TKO/DQ: $0.35
- O’Malley to win by submission: $0.05
- O’Malley to win by decision: $0.46
- Zahabi to win by KO/TKO/DQ: $0.08
- Zahabi to win by submission: $0.04
- Zahabi to win by decision: $0.17
- Fight goes the distance: Yes: $0.64, No: $0.69
O’Malley (19-3) is a former UFC bantamweight champion, and he’s coming off a victory over Song Yadong at UFC 324 in January after back-to-back losses to Merab Dvalishvili for the title. Zahabi (14-2) has won seven straight fights. O’Malley is currently ranked third in the division, with Zahabi sixth.
Josh Hokit vs. Derrick Lewis (Heavyweight bout)
- Hokit to win: $0.77
- Lewis to win: $0.24
- Hokit to win by KO/TKO/DQ: $0.46
- Hokit to win by submission: $0.22
- Hokit to win by decision: $0.13
- Lewis to win by KO/TKO/DQ: $0.22
- Lewis to win by submission: $0.04
- Lewis to win by decision: $0.02
- Fight goes the distance: Yes: $0.23, No: $0.84
Hokit backs up his boastful mouth with a hard punch, and he’s climbed to fifth in the heavyweight division. Hokit (9-0) has won all three of his UFC fights, with two coming by KO/TKO. Lewis is a staple of UFC, with 20 career UFC victories and 29 professional wins. Lewis has 16 knockouts, the most in UFC history.
Mauricio Ruffy vs. Michael Chandler (Lightweight bout)
- Ruffy to win: $0.85
- Chandler to win: $0.17
- Ruffy to win by KO/TKO/DQ: $0.57
- Ruffy to win by submission: $0.08
- Ruffy to win by decision: $0.18
- Chandler to win by KO/TKO/DQ: $0.12
- Chandler to win by submission: $0.05
- Chandler to win by decision: $0.05
- Fight goes the distance: Yes: $0.25, No: $0.83
Ruffy, 29, has an 11-year youth advantage over Chandler, 40, and he’s one of the up-and-comers in the lightweight division. Ruffy (13-2) has won four of five career UFC fights. Meanwhile, Chandler has been a fighter proven ready to face the best, with bouts against Charles Oliveira, Dustin Poirier, Pimblett and Gaethje since the start of 2021. Chandler has 23 all-time wins, but he’s 2-5 in the UFC.
Bo Nickal vs. Kyle Daukaus (Middleweight bout)
- Nickal to win: $0.76
- Daukaus to win: $0.25
- Nickal to win by KO/TKO/DQ: $0.32
- Nickal to win by submission: $0.21
- Nickal to win by decision: $0.26
- Daukaus to win by KO/TKO/DQ: $0.09
- Daukaus to win by submission: $0.15
- Daukaus to win by decision: $0.12
- Fight goes the distance: Yes: $0.39, No: $0.71
This is the only bout on the UFC Freedom 250 card where neither fighter is ranked, but the two American middleweights have a great opportunity on an elevated stage. Nickal was a three-time national champion at Penn State and is off to an 8-1 start in his MMA career, including 5-1 in the UFC. Daukaus is 17-4-1 overall and 4-4 in his UFC career, but the 33-year-old is 2-0 since returning to the UFC in August.
Diego Lopes vs. Steve Garcia (Featherwight bout)
- Lopes to win: $0.61
- Garcia to win: $0.40
- Lopes to win by KO/TKO/DQ: $0.29
- Lopes to win by submission: $0.18
- Lopes to win by decision: $0.21
- Garcia to win by KO/TKO/DQ: $0.24
- Garcia to win by submission: $0.02
- Garcia to win by decision: $0.16
- Fight goes the distance: Yes: $0.33, No: $0.72
This featherweight bout serves as the first matchup for UFC White House predictions on Sunday and features Lopes, who is ranked second in the division. The 31-year-old is 27-8 over his career, and he’s coming off his second title opportunity loss to Alexander Volkanovski. Meanwhile, Garcia, ranked ninth in the division, looks to prove he should be in the title picture. Garcia is 19-5 overall (8-2 in the UFC) and has won seven straight fights.
Click here to claim a $10 trading bonus after $10 worth of trades for UFC White House predictions:
UFC White House predictions: Who will attend UFC Freedom 250?
UFC Freedom 250 is an unique, near entirely invite-only event with only around 4,300 seats available. There are no tickets to the general public, but there are VIP access tickets if you have more than $1 million to spare. President Donald Trump will be inviting roughly 1,000 guests, and the majority of the other seats will be given to U.S military personnel.
The $1.5 million VIP access package provides the following:
- Access to some future UFC events
- Reserved seating on the South Lawn
- Weigh-in access
- VIP receptions
- Live concert access
- Floor tickets to UFC 329, which features the return of Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway in Las Vegas
There will be plenty of celebrities among the invited guests for the UFC White House, and Kalshi offers pricing on whether specific celebrities will be in attendance. Joe Rogan tops the list of expected celebrities in attendance, with “Yes” priced at $0.95. Others expected at UFC Freedom 250 include Mark Zuckerberg ($0.93), Donald Trump Jr. ($0.85) and McGregor ($0.78). Some at longer prices include Jake Paul ($0.19), Tiger Woods ($0.077) and Tom Brady ($0.29).
Biggest states with UFC White House predictions markets
| State | Bonus offer | Promo Code |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi promo code California | Trade $10, Get $10 trading bonus | CBSSPORTS |
| Kalshi promo code Florida | Trade $10, Get $10 trading bonus | CBSSPORTS |
| Kalshi promo code Georgia | Trade $10, Get $10 trading bonus | CBSSPORTS |
| Kalshi promo code Texas | Trade $10, Get $10 trading bonus | CBSSPORTS |
Many states that don’t have legalized online sports betting have prediction market platforms available, allowing residents in states like California, Georgia, Texas , and more to trade on sports. Prediction market sites, such as Kalshi, operate similarly to the stock market, where users can buy and sell shares. Therefore, it’s regulated by the CFTC and federal law, rather than individual states.
Responsible Trading Tips and Tools for UFC White House predictions
Prediction market platforms, such as Kalshi, offer a variety of responsible trading tools, such as trading breaks, self-exclusions, deposit limits and mental health support.
Prediction Markets are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) – an independent agency of the U.S. federal government.
FAQ
Can I bet on UFC fights in California?
Sports betting isn’t legal in California, but trading on Kalshi is.
Can you online bet in California?
No, online sports betting isn’t available in California.
Can I bet on UFC fights in Texas?
Sports betting isn’t legal in Texas, but trading on Kalshi is.
Where can you bet on UFC in Florida?
There are limited sportsbooks available in Florida through the Seminole Tribe of Florida. The biggest national brands, such as FanDuel and DraftKings, are not available. However, Kalshi is available in the Sunshine State.
Is there a Kalshi promo code?
Yes, the Kalshi UFC promo code CBSSPORTS gives new users a $10 trading bonus after trading $10. Claim the bonus here
Who is expected to fight at the UFC White House?
UFC Freedom 250 features a seven-fight card with many of the biggest fighters in the sport in action. The final two bouts are for titles, with a co-main even starting with Alex Pereira vs. Ciryl Gane for the interim heavyweight belt and concluding with Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje for the lightweight title. Topuria (17-0) puts his undefeated record on the line as well.
Is the UFC Freedom 250 real?
Yes, UFC is completely real, without any staged or predetermined results.
Who is predicted to win the UFC?
There is a clear expected winner in the main event in Topuria, the current UFC lightweight champion against Gaethje, the interim champion. Other fighters with a significantly higher percentage to win their fights over their opponents include Josh Hokit, Mauricio Ruffy and Sean O’Malley.
How accurate are prediction markets?
Prediction markets are considerd largelt accurate, especially for bigger events. The UFC White House is expcted to be one of the biggest sporting spectacles of the year, so predictions sites will likely be pretty accurate on their pricing.
Event contracts trading involves a risk of substantial loss and is not suitable for all investors. Participation in prediction markets is subject to applicable eligibility requirements. Participation may be restricted or prohibited in certain jurisdictions and participants are responsible for ensuring their participation complies with applicable laws and regulations in their jurisdiction.
