With only six games scheduled in the NBA on Saturday, many eyes will be on Charlotte and the Eastern Conference play-in race. The Philadelphia 76ers, fresh off getting Joel Embiid and Paul George back in the lineup, take on the Charlotte Hornets (6 p.m. ET). Philadelphia is currently in seventh in the East, just a game ahead of Charlotte, with both teams still incredibly close to breaking into the top six, and a guaranteed playoff spot.

Saturday’s only other game between two postseason teams features the Detroit Pistons taking on the Minnesota Timberwolves (5:30 p.m. ET, ABC). Even without Cade Cunningham, Detroit has maintained a solid cushion for the top seed in the East, while Minnesota is just a game behind the Denver Nuggets for fourth in the west, and the homecourt advantage that would come with it in the first round.

In other action, the San Antonio Spurs will look to continue their winning ways against the skidding Milwaukee Bucks (3 p.m. ET, Prime), as Victor Wembanyama tries to improve his MVP case.

Here’s a look at the current and projected NBA playoff picture, the most important games left in the regular season and how the race for the No. 1 pick in June’s draft is shaping up:

Jump to a section:
Current playoff matchups
Today’s schedule | Friday’s scores
<!– Clinching scenarios | –>Critical remaining games
Projected standings | Race for No. 1 pick

Current NBA playoff matchups

Eastern Conference playoffs

1. Detroit Pistons vs. 8. Play-in winner TBD
2. Boston Celtics vs. 7. Play-in winner TBD
3. New York Knicks vs. 6. Atlanta Hawks
4. Cleveland Cavaliers vs. 5. Toronto Raptors

Eastern Conference play-in

7. Philadelphia 76ers vs. 8. Charlotte Hornets
9. Orlando Magic vs. 10. Miami Heat
Loser 7/8 vs. Winner 9/10

Western Conference playoffs

1. Oklahoma City Thunder vs. 8. Play-in winner TBD
2. San Antonio Spurs vs. 7. Play-in winner TBD
3. Los Angeles Lakers vs. 6. Houston Rockets
4. Denver Nuggets vs. 5. Minnesota Timberwolves

Western Conference play-in

7. Phoenix Suns vs. 8. LA Clippers
9. Portland Trail Blazers vs. 10. Golden State Warriors
Loser 7/8 vs. Winner 9/10


NBA Playoff Challenge

Pick the winners and crown your NBA champion! Create A Bracket

Saturday’s games

Spurs at Bucks, 3 p.m. ET (Prime)
Pistons at Timberwolves, 5:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
76ers at Hornets, 6 p.m. ET
Kings at Hawks, 7:30 p.m. ET
Bulls at Grizzlies, 8 p.m. ET
Jazz at Suns, 10 p.m. ET (NBA TV)


Friday’s scores

Clippers 114, Pacers 113
Celtics 109, Hawks 102
Cavaliers 149, Heat 128
Rockets 119, Grizzlies 109
Thunder 131, Bulls 113
Raptors 119, Pelicans 106
Nuggets 135, Jazz 129
Warriors 131, Wizards 126
Mavericks 100, Trail Blazers 93
Lakers 116. Nets 99


Most important games left


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Clinching scenarios

The Boston Celtics will clinch a spot in the playoffs with a win and a loss by the Toronto Raptors.

The Golden State Warriors will be locked into a spot in the play-in tournament with a loss and a win by the Houston Rockets.

The Chicago Bulls will be eliminated from playoff contention with a loss.


–>

Projected end-of-season standings

Projected Eastern Conference StandingsSeedTeamProjected Final Record1Detroit Pistons 58-24 2 Boston Celtics 54-28 3 New York Knicks 53-29 4 Cleveland Cavaliers 52-30 5 Atlanta Hawks 46-36 6 Toronto Raptors 46-36 7 Charlotte Hornets 45-37 8 Philadelphia 76ers 45-37 9 Orlando Magic 44-38 10 Miami Heat 44-38 11 Milwaukee Bucks 33-49 12 Chicago Bulls 33-49 13 Brooklyn Nets 19-63 14 Washington Wizards 19-63 15 Indiana Pacers 19-63 Projections via ESPN’s Basketball Power Index

Projected Western Conference StandingsSeedTeamProjected Final Record1Oklahoma City Thunder 64-18 2 San Antonio Spurs 61-21 3 Los Angeles Lakers 53-29 4 Denver Nuggets 52-30 5 Minnesota Timberwolves 50-32 6 Houston Rockets 50-32 7 Phoenix Suns 45-37 8 LA Clippers 43-39 9 Portland Trail Blazers 41-41 10 Golden State Warriors 40-42 11 New Orleans Pelicans 28-54 12 Memphis Grizzlies 28-54 13 Dallas Mavericks 27-55 14 Utah Jazz 22-60 15 Sacramento Kings 21-61 Projections via ESPN’s Basketball Power Index


Race for the No. 1 pick

The NBA uses a draft lottery to determine the order of the first four picks. All 14 teams that fail to make the playoffs are eligible to move up to the top four. After the order of the top four picks is set via the draw, the remainder of the first round is set in inverse order of the teams’ regular-season records. The three teams with the worst records each have an equal 14% chance of winning the lottery, with the odds for the non-playoff teams decreasing from there.

Among the projected lottery teams, there are multiple trades that could impact picks. The Atlanta Hawks will get the better of the picks from the New Orleans Pelicans and Milwaukee Bucks, with the lesser of the two picks going to Milwaukee. If the Indiana Pacers’ pick falls between five and nine, it will go to the LA Clippers. The Utah Jazz will send their pick to the Oklahoma City Thunder if it falls outside the top eight.

The Portland Trail Blazers will send their pick to the Chicago Bulls if it falls outside the lottery (if they make the playoffs through the play-in tournament). The Washington Wizards’ pick is top-eight protected, and the probability of their selection ending up ninth or worse is extremely low.

Projected 2026 Lottery OrderNo.TeamCurrent RecordChance ForNo. 1 Pick1Indiana Pacers 16-58 14% 2 Brooklyn Nets 17-57 14% 3 Washington Wizards 17-56 14% 4 Sacramento Kings 19-55 12.5% 5 Utah Jazz 21-53 10.5% 6 Dallas Mavericks 24-50 9% 7 Memphis Grizzlies 24-49 7.5% 8 New Orleans Pelicans* 25-50 6% 9 Chicago Bulls 29-44 4.5% 10 Milwaukee Bucks 29-43 3% 11 Golden State Warriors 36-38 2% 12 Portland Trail Blazers 37-38 1.5% 13 Orlando Magic 39-34 1% 14 Miami Heat 39-34 0.5% *The Pelicans’ pick would convey to the Atlanta Hawks. The Magic’s pick would convey to the Grizzlies.

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