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The UConn Huskies lost a slight amount of steam since Selection Sunday, moving from -270 to -265, but they’ll still be the big favorite to win a record-extending 13th national championship when the women’s tournament gets underway. Their future odds going into the fray are the shortest since 2018, which was also the last time UConn was favored to win it all. (UConn lost in the national semifinals that year to eventual champion Notre Dame.)
That reported, despite the perceived chalkiness of the women’s game, odds-on lines are not an automatic indicator of success: Three of the last four odds-on national title favorites coming into the tournament ultimately failed to win it all, which includes the last two occasions in which the Huskies were in this position.
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So who could conceivably knock them off for college basketball’s ultimate prize? One-seeds UCLA (+550), Texas (+700) or South Carolina (+800) are the most likely candidates, none of whom have seen any odds movement since Selection Sunday. LSU notably lengthened from 14-1 to 16-1 over that time period, while Vanderbilt (50-1), Duke (75-1) and Michigan (80-1) all held pat and round out the teams better than 100-1.
Bookmakers note that the top five teams are virtually the only ones receiving any kind of significant action from the betting public, though Caesars college basketball trader Patrick Berbert notes some fliers at Vanderbilt given the long odds as a 2-seed. Many bettors grabbed UConn while they still had plus-odds earlier in the campaign, while others gravitated to UCLA late with the thought that they are the only other team that can reasonably win it all.
Odds by DraftKings Sportsbook as of time of publication and are subject to change.
2026 Women’s College Basketball Championship(Seed) SchoolRecordTo WinFinalsSemisRd. of EightRd. of 16Next Game(1) UConn Huskies
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